are we ready?
no.
too many dooms day articles, blogs, so here is one more. not sure who is the target audience for this one, but I am writing it based on my own observation of what I am doing, how I am using some of the tools like cursor, claude max, codex, gemini. we are really cooked? (for now, by we I mean software developers, testers, product managers, architects etc.) forget about the talk of entry level and mid senior level, the way some of the developments are shaping up is makes looking at code pointless at this point. It’s all gone.
couple of features I have done in last 2-3 days were estimated by us last year were 30+ days development time, which were done in 4-5 hours. please read it again what I just wrote. what that means? the days of writing software for living is gone.
what does that mean for future? the way I have been thinking about it is, you have to move to higher order work - like creativity, domain knowledge you bring to the table, operating this tool at their limit, and there will be enough problems to solve and enough integration and cross product development to be done. (which I am bullish on). more products getting built currently than ever, more code is getting pushed than ever. I am sure not only frontier labs token usage climbing up, but amount of articles, bot activity, github repos are also burning mid night oil at this point.
workflows are getting automated at scale and every passing week its moving at dangerous speed. in other words, agi for software and digital things are already here, just not utilized by everyone due to various reasons - some are still in denial mode and think they do better than others, some are just using free version so not aware of the quality of pro and max products, a lot in corporate world - where its restricted and may stuck with just copilot, which is utterly mediocre product if you try cursor, codex or claude code. so if you have not try, please do yourself favor and try it. you don’t need any fancy tutorial, or course, just go for it.
here are some predictions, following jobs are going to disrupted and find new home - software development, product people, support jobs, analyst in various domains, mid level managers, agents for various sorts, admins - they all are going to find new responsibilities. It’s once in a lifetime reset for those blue color works. I have another prediction - which is hard working or physical work jobs will get disrupted very quickly after this, its coming with robot revolution. certain class of work may see that their work gets more demand, but that will be short lived.
if anyone wants to see my setup, approach, happy to get on call, here is the link to block few mins with me here.
enough for now. I need to go to my claude cli to hit enter to accept that magically written error free code so that I can directly try out in web or push that app on apple app store for review.
note - continuation from here. (wrote about year or so back)